With a record number of candidates and no clear front runner a month away from Iowa, the 2020 Democratic primary is far from predictable. Of course, that doesn’t stop countless pundits from trying to tell the future. Most soothsayers focus on guessing who the eventual winner will be, but I’m just as interested in hearing who spectators think will drop out early, who will go far but not necessarily win, and who will end up somewhere in the middle.
That’s why I set up a contest which asked participants to predict the drop out order of the remaining candidates (as of January 7th). Because contestants were purely guessing drop out order and not actual primary performance, they had to consider all sorts of factors, such as candidates’ finances or even how stubborn they each are. And thanks to the generosity of contest sponsor Bellwether Analytics, serious prizes are on the line...including an Apple iPad for the most accurate fortune-teller!
Can you guess the order the final candidates will drop out in?
